Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009095 0.010787 0.012841 0.015563 0.019144 0.023800 0.030494
2025-06-08 0.007049 0.009061 0.011810 0.015995 0.022521 0.032937 0.052404
2025-06-15 0.005798 0.007825 0.010805 0.015782 0.024539 0.040942 0.079609
2025-06-22 0.004827 0.006724 0.009649 0.014852 0.024840 0.046008 0.106938
2025-06-29 0.004315 0.006191 0.009222 0.014960 0.027014 0.056284 0.163981
2025-07-06 0.003993 0.005891 0.009095 0.015545 0.030406 0.072325 0.282612
2025-07-13 0.003806 0.005774 0.009248 0.016706 0.035727 0.099849 0.600976
2025-07-20 0.003573 0.005540 0.009137 0.017273 0.039900 0.129867 1.310255
2025-07-27 0.003322 0.005237 0.008838 0.017332 0.042712 0.159696 2.972571
2025-08-03 0.003113 0.004984 0.008594 0.017454 0.045873 0.199074 9.323207
2025-08-10 0.002871 0.004644 0.008123 0.016890 0.046410 0.224920 29.586681
2025-08-17 0.002623 0.004267 0.007526 0.015870 0.044810 0.233077 83.367121
2025-08-24 0.002407 0.003952 0.007062 0.015225 0.044905 0.263116 6218.633186
2025-08-31 0.002291 0.003821 0.006984 0.015651 0.049957 0.370612 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002146 0.003617 0.006711 0.015444 0.052156 0.466349 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001974 0.003341 0.006242 0.014541 0.050407 0.494530 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001881 0.003218 0.006110 0.014646 0.054118 0.678310 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001822 0.003160 0.006119 0.015214 0.061166 1.113968 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001794 0.003162 0.006276 0.016341 0.073491 2.486227 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001740 0.003102 0.006267 0.016891 0.082987 5.332797 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001668 0.002999 0.006136 0.016948 0.088928 10.642261 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001605 0.002908 0.006026 0.017067 0.095958 27.848425 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001521 0.002767 0.005767 0.016520 0.095928 48.417872 NaN